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Philosophia Mathematica 2005 13(2):194-201; doi:10.1093/philmat/nki015
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Philosophia Mathematica (III), Vol. 13 No. 2 © Oxford University Press, 2005, all rights reserved

Sleeping Beauty: A Wake-Up Call{dagger}

C. S. Jenkins*

*Arché: the AHRC Research Centre for the Philosophy of Logic, Language, Mathematics, and Mind, University of St Andrews St Andrews, Fife, Scotland KY16 9AL csj6{at}st-andrews.ac.uk

This note concerns a puzzle about probability which has recently caught the attention of a number of philosophers. According to the current philosophical consensus, the solution to the puzzle reveals that one can acquire new information, sufficient to change one's credences in certain events, just by having a certain experience, even though one knew all along that one would have an experience which felt exactly like this. I argue that the philosophical consensus is mistaken.


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